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今天,你戴口罩了吗?武汉传来新消息,我最担心的事情还是发生了

亲人健康 2022-04-01

找到一个疫情实时动态的链接,可以看到全国最新疫情状况和你所在地区的最新情况。需要的在公众号后台回复:动态


24小时内,“新型冠状病毒”像颗深水炸弹。

在社交网络炸开。
 

我原以为媒体不断科普,感染病例不断攀升能让大家引起重视。
但万万没想到。
大家还是轻视了这次的新型冠状病毒。

看到这则新闻时,我真的惊呆了。
武汉百步亭四万余家庭共吃团年饭。
 
 
2天前,武汉百步亭社区摆了万家宴。
“万”不是虚指,是4万多个家庭。
就按一家4口人算,也有16万人参加。
 
这是什么概念?
举办奥运会开幕式的鸟巢,最多能容纳91000人。
也就是说,这个万家宴要2个鸟巢才能放下。

经历过SARS的人都知道,对付传染病,要避免在人群中暴露。
当时学校停课,工厂停工,能不出门都尽量待在家里。
可武汉呢?
楚天都市报得意洋洋地宣称:
这个活动曾经创造吉尼斯世界纪录。浓浓的年味扑面而来。



169. Don't let yesterday use up too much of today. 别留念昨天了,把握好今天吧。(Will Rogers) 170. If you are not brave enough, no one will back you up. 你不勇敢,没人替你坚强。171. If you don't build your dream, someone will hire you to build theirs. 如果你没有梦想,那么你只能为别人的梦想打工。172. Beauty is all around, if you just open your heart to see. 只要你给自己机会,你会发现你的世界可以很美丽。173. The difference in winning and losing is most often...not quitting. 赢与输的差别通常是--不放弃。(华特·迪士尼) 174. I am ordinary yet unique. 我很平凡,但我独一无二。175. I like people who make me laugh in spite of myself. 我喜欢那些让我笑起来的人,就算是我不想笑的时候。176. Image a new story for your life and start living it. 为你的生命想一个全新剧本,并去倾情出演吧!177. I'd rather be a happy fool than a sad sage. 做个悲伤的智者,不如做个开心的傻子。178. The future belongs to those who believe in the beauty of their dreams. 未来属于那些相信梦想之美的人。(埃莉诺·罗斯福) 179. Even if you get no applause, you should accept a curtain call gracefully and appreciate your own efforts. 即使没有人为你鼓掌,也要优雅的谢幕,感谢自己的认真付出。180. Don't let dream just be your dream. 别让梦想只停留在梦里。181. A day without laughter is a day wasted. 没有笑声的一天是浪费了的一天。(卓别林) 182. Travel and see the world; afterwards, you will be able to put your concerns in perspective. 去旅行吧,见的世面多了,你会发现原来在意的那些结根本算不了什么。183. The key to acquiring proficiency in any task is repetition. 任何事情成功关键都是熟能生巧。《生活大爆炸》 184. You can be happy no matter what. 开心一点吧,管它会怎样。185. A good plan today is better than a perfect plan tomorrow. 今天的好计划胜过明天的完美计划。186. Nothing is impossible, the word itself says 'I'm possible'! 一切皆有可能!“不可能”的意思是:“不,可能。”(奥黛丽·赫本) 187. Life isn't fair, but no matter your circumstances, you have to give it your all. 生活是不公平的,不管你的境遇如何,你只能全力以赴。188. No matter how hard it is, just keep going because you only fail when you give up. 无论多么艰难,都要继续前进,因为只有你放弃的那一刻,你才输了。When Paul Jobs was mustered out of the Coast Guard after World War II, he made a wager with his crewmates. They had arrived in San Francisco, where their ship was decommissioned, and Paul bet that he would find himself a wife within two weeks. He was a taut, tattooed engine mechanic, six feet tall, with a passing resemblance to James Dean. But it wasn’t his looks that got him a date with Clara Hagopian, a sweet-humored daughter of Armenian immigrants. It was the fact that he and his friends had a car, unlike the group she had originally planned to go out with that evening. Ten days later, in March 1946, Paul got engaged to Clara and won his wager. It would turn out to be a happy marriage, one that lasted until death parted them more than forty years later. Paul Reinhold Jobs had been raised on a dairy farm in Germantown, Wisconsin. Even though his father was an alcoholic and sometimes abusive, Paul ended up with a gentle and calm disposition under his leathery exterior. After dropping out of high school, he wandered through the Midwest picking up work as a mechanic until, at age nineteen, he joined the Coast Guard, even though he didn’t know how to swim. He was deployed on the USS General M. C. Meigs and spent much of the war ferrying troops to Italy for General Patton. His talent as a machinist and fireman earned him commendations, but he occasionally found himself in minor trouble and never rose above the rank of seaman. Clara was born in New Jersey, where her parents had landed after fleeing the Turks in Armenia, and they moved to the Mission District of San Francisco when she was a child. She had a secret that she rarely mentioned to anyone: She had been married before, but her husband had been killed in the war. So when she met Paul Jobs on that first date, she was primed to start a new life. Clara, however, loved San Francisco, and in 1952 she convinced her husband to move back there. They got an apartment in the Sunset District facing the Pacific, just south of Golden Gate Park, and he took a job working for a finance company as a “repo man,” picking the locks of cars whose owners hadn’t paid their loans and repossessing them. He also bought, repaired, and sold some of the cars, making a decent enough living in the process. There was, however, something missing in their lives. They wanted children, but Clara had suffered an ectopic pregnancy, in which the fertilized egg was implanted in a fallopian tube rather than the uterus, and she had been unable to have any. So by 1955, after nine years of marriage, they were looking to adopt a child. Like Paul Jobs, Joanne Schieble was from a rural Wisconsin family of German heritage. Her father, Arthur Schieble, had immigrated to the outskirts of Green Bay, where he and his wife owned a mink farm and dabbled successfully in various other businesses, including real estate and photoengraving. He was very strict, especially regarding his daughter’s relationships, and he had strongly disapproved of her first love, an artist who was not a Catholic. Thus it was no surprise that he threatened to cut Joanne off completely when, as a graduate student at the University of Wisconsin, she fell in love with Abdulfattah “John” Jandali, a Muslim teaching assistant from Syria. Jandali was the youngest of nine children in a prominent Syrian family. His father owned oil refineries and multiple other businesses, with large holdings in Damascus and Homs, and at one point pretty much controlled the price of wheat in the region. His mother, he later said, was a “traditional Muslim woman” who was a “conservative, obedient housewife.” Like the Schieble family, the Jandalis put a premium on education. Abdulfattah was sent to a Jesuit boarding school, even though he was Muslim, and he got an undergraduate degree at the American University in Beirut before entering the University of Wisconsin to pursue a doctoral degree in political science. In the summer of 1954, Joanne went with Abdulfattah to Syria. They spent two months in Homs, where she learned from his family to cook Syrian dishes. When they returned to Wisconsin she discovered that she was pregnant. They were both twenty-three, but they decided not to get married. Her father was dying at the time, and he had threatened to disown her if she wed Abdulfattah. Nor was abortion an easy option in a small Catholic community. So in early 1955, Joanne traveled to San Francisco, where she was taken into the care of a kindly doctor who sheltered unwed mothers, delivered their babies, and quietly arranged closed adoptions. Joanne had one requirement: Her child must be adopted by college graduates. So the doctor arranged for the baby to be placed with a lawyer and his wife. But when a boy was born—on February 24, 1955—the designated couple decided that they wanted a girl and backed out. Thus it was that the boy became the son not of a lawyer but of a high school dropout with a passion for mechanics and his salt-of-the-earth wife who was working as a bookkeeper. Paul and Clara named their new baby Steven Paul Jobs. When Joanne found out that her baby had been placed with a couple who had not even graduated from high school, she refused to sign the adoption papers. The standoff lasted weeks, even after the baby had settled into the Jobs household. Eventually Joanne relented, with the stipulation that the couple promise—indeed sign a pledge—to fund a savings account to pay for the boy’s college education. There was another reason that Joanne was balky about signing the adoption papers. Her father was about to die, and she planned to marry Jandali soon after. She held out hope, she would later tell family members, sometimes tearing up at the memory, that once they were married, she could get their 别让梦想只停留在梦里。181. A day without laughter is a day wasted. 没有笑声的一天是浪费了的一天。(卓别林) 182. Travel and see the world; afterwards, you will be able to put your concerns in perspective. 去旅行吧,见的世面多了,你会发现原来在意的那些结根本算不了什么。183. The key to acquiring proficiency in any task is repetition. 任何事情成功关键都是熟能生巧。《生活大爆炸》 184. You can be happy no matter what. 开心一点吧,管它会怎样。baby boy back. Arthur Schieble died in August 1955, after the adoption was finalized. Just after Christmas that year, Joanne and Abdulfattah were married in St. Philip the Apostle Catholic Church in Green Bay. He got his PhD in international politics the next year, and then they had another child, a girl named Mona. After she and Jandali divorced in 1962, Joanne embarked on a dreamy and peripatetic life that her daughter, who grew up to become the acclaimed novelist Mona Simpson, would capture in her book Anywhere but Here. Because Steve’s adoption had been closed, it would be twenty years before they would all find each other. Steve Jobs knew from an early age that he was adopted. “My parents were very open with me about that,” he recalled. He had a vivid memory of sitting on the lawn of his house, when he was six or seven years old, telling the girl who lived across the street. “So does that mean your real parents didn’t want you?” the girl asked. “Lightning bolts went off in my head,” according to Jobs. “I remember running into the house, crying. And my parents said, ‘No, you have to understand.’ They were very serious and looked me straight in the eye. They said, ‘We specifically picked you out.’ Both of my parents said that and repeated it slowly for me. And they put an emphasis on every word in that sentence.” Abandoned. Chosen. Special. Those concepts became part of who Jobs was and how he regarded himself. His closest friends think that the knowledge that he was given up at birth left some scars. “I think his desire for complete control of whatever he makes derives directly from his personality and the fact that he was abandoned at birth,” said one longtime colleague, Del Yocam. “He wants to control his environment, and he sees the product as an extension of himself.” Greg Calhoun, who became close to Jobs right after college, saw another effect. “Steve talked to me a lot about being abandoned and the pain that caused,” he said. “It made him independent. He followed the beat of a different drummer, and that came from being in a different world than he was born into.” Later in life, when he was the same age his biological father had been when he abandoned him, Jobs would father and abandon a child of his own. (He eventually took responsibility for her.) Chrisann Brennan, the mother of that child, said that being put up for adoption left Jobs “full of broken glass,” and it helps to explain some of his behavior. “He who is abandoned is an abandoner,” she said. Andy Hertzfeld, who worked with Jobs at Apple in the early 1980s, is among the few who remained close to both Brennan and Jobs. “The key question about Steve is why he can’t control himself at times from being so reflexively cruel and harmful to some people,” he said. “That goes back to being abandoned at birth. The real underlying problem was the theme of abandonment in Steve’s life.” Jobs dismissed this. “There’s some notion that because I was abandoned, I worked very hard so I could do well and make my parents wish they had me back, or some such nonsense, but that’s ridiculous,” he insisted. “Knowing I was adopted may have made me feel more independent, but I have never felt abandoned. I’ve always felt special. My parents made me feel special.” He would later bristle whenever anyone referred to Paul and Clara Jobs as his “adoptive” parents or implied that they were not his “real” parents. “They were my parents 1,000%,” he said. When speaking about his biological parents, on the other hand, he was curt: “They were my sperm and egg bank. That’s not harsh, it’s just the way it was, a sperm bank thing, nothing more.” Silicon Valley The childhood that Paul and Clara Jobs created for their new son was, in many ways, a stereotype of the late 1950s. When Steve was two they adopted a girl they named Patty, and three years later they moved to a tract house in the suburbs. The finance company where Paul worked as a repo man, CIT, had transferred him down to its Palo Alto office, but he could not afford to live there, so they landed in a subdivision in Mountain View, a less expensive town just to the south. There Paul tried to pass along his love of mechanics and cars. “Steve, this is your workbench now,” he said as he marked off a section of the table in their garage. Jobs remembered being impressed by his father’s focus on craftsmanship. “I thought my dad’s sense of design was pretty good,” he said, “because he knew how to build anything. If we needed a cabinet, he would build it. When he built our fence, he gave me a hammer so I could work with him.” Fifty years later the fence still surrounds the back and side yards of the house in Mountain View. As Jobs showed it off to me, he caressed the stockade panels and recalled a lesson that his father implanted deeply in him. It was important, his father said, to craft the backs of cabinets and fences properly, even though they were hidden. “He loved doing things right. He even cared about the look of the parts you couldn’t see.” His father continued to refurbish and resell used cars, and he festooned the garage with pictures of his favorites. He would point out the detailing of the design to his son: the lines, the vents, the chrome, the trim of the seats. After work each day, he would change into his dungarees and retreat to the garage, often with Steve tagging along. “I figured I could get him nailed down with a little mechanical ability, but he really wasn’t interested in getting his hands dirty,” Paul later recalled. “He never really cared too much about m189. It requires hard work to give off an appearance of effortlessness. 你必须十分努力,才能看起来毫不费力。190. Life is like riding a bicycle.To keep your balance,you must keep moving. 人生就像骑单车,只有不断前进,才能保持平衡。(爱因斯坦) 191. Be thankful for what you have.You'll end up having more. 拥有一颗感恩的心,最终你会得到更多。192. Beauty is how you feel inside, and it reflects in your eyes. 美是一种内心的感觉,并反映在你的眼睛里。(索菲亚·罗兰) 193. Friendship doubles your joys, and divides your sorrows. 朋友的作用,就是让你快乐加倍,痛苦减半。194. When you long for something sincerely, the whole world will help you. 当你真心渴望某样东西时,整个宇宙都会来帮忙。echanical things.” “I wasn’t that into fixing cars,” Jobs admitted. “But I was eager to hang out with my dad.” Even as he was growing more aware that he had been adopted, he was becoming more attached to his father. One day when he was about eight, he discovered a photograph of his father from his time in the Coast Guard. “He’s in the engine room, and he’s got his shirt off and looks like James Dean. It was one of those Oh wow moments for a kid. Wow, oooh, my parents were actually once very young and really good-looking.” Through cars, his father gave Steve his first exposure to electronics. “My dad did not have a deep understanding of electronics, but he’d encountered it a lot in automobiles and other things he would fix. He showed me the rudiments of electronics, and I got very interested in that.” Even more interesting were the trips to scavenge for parts. “Every weekend, there’d be a junkyard trip. We’d be looking for a generator, a carburetor, all sorts of components.” He remembered watching his father negotiate at the counter. “He was a good bargainer, because he knew better than the guys at the counter what the parts should cost.” This helped fulfill the pledge his parents made when he was adopted. “My college fund came from my dad paying $50 for a Ford Falcon or some other beat-up car that didn’t run, working on it for a few weeks, and selling it for $250—and not telling the IRS.” The Jobses’ house and the others in their neighborhood were built by the real estate developer Joseph Eichler, whose company spawned more than eleven thousand homes in various California subdivisions between 1950 and 1974. Inspired by Frank Lloyd Wright’s vision of simple modern homes for the American “everyman,” Eichler built inexpensive houses that featured floor-to-ceiling glass walls, open floor plans, exposed post-and-beam construction, concrete slab floors, and lots of sliding glass doors. “Eichler did a great thing,” Jobs said on one of our walks around the neighborhood. “His houses were smart and cheap and good. They brought clean design and simple taste to lower-income people. They had awesome little features, like radiant heating in the floors. You put carpet on them, and we had nice toasty floors when we were kids.” Jobs said that his appreciation for Eichler homes instilled in him a passion for making nicely designed products for the mass market. “I love it when you can bring really great design and simple capability to something that doesn’t cost much,” he said as he pointed out the clean elegance of the houses. “It was the original vision for Apple. That’s what we tried to do with the first Mac. That’s what we did with the iPod.” Across the street from the Jobs family lived a man who had become successful as a real estate agent. “He wasn’t that bright,” Jobs recalled, “but he seemed to be making a fortune. So my dad thought, ‘I can do that.’ He worked so hard, I remember. He took these night classes, passed the license test, and got into real estate. Then the bottom fell out of the market.” As a result, the family found itself financially strapped for a year or so while Steve was in elementary school. His mother took a job as a bookkeeper for Varian Associates, a company that made scientific instruments, and they took out a second mortgage. One day his fourth-grade teacher asked him, “What is it you don’t understand about the universe?” Jobs replied, “I don’t understand why all of a sudden my dad is so broke.” He was proud that his father never adopted a servile attitude or slick style that may have made him a better salesman. “You had to suck up to people to sell real estate, and he wasn’t good at that and it wasn’t in his nature. I admired him for that.” Paul Jobs went back to being a mechanic. His father was calm and gentle, traits that his son later praised more than emulated. He was also resolute. Jobs described one exampl What made the neighborhood different from the thousands of other spindly-tree subdivisions across America was that even the ne’er-do-wells tended to be engineers. “When we moved here, there were apricot and plum orchards on all of these corners,” Jobs recalled. “But it was beginning to boom because of military investment.” He soaked up the history of the valley and developed a yearning to play his own role. Edwin Land of Polaroid later told him about being asked by Eisenhower to help build the U-2 spy plane cameras to see how real the Soviet threat was. The film was dropped in canisters and returned to the NASA Ames Research Center in Sunnyvale, not far from where Jobs lived. “The first computer terminal I ever saw was when my dad brought me to the Ames Center,” he said. “I fell totally in love with it.” Other defense contractors sprouted nearby during the 1950s. The Lockheed Missiles and Space Division, which built submarine-launched ballistic missiles, was founded in 1956 next to the NASA Center; by the time Jobs moved to the area four years later, it employed twenty thousand people. A few hundred yards away, Westinghouse built facilities that produced tubes and electrical transformers for the missile systems. “You had all these military companies on the cutting edge,” he recalled. “It was mysterious and high-tech and made living here very exciting.” In the wake of the defense industries there arose a booming economy based on technology. Its roots stretched back to 1938, when David Packard and his new wife moved into a house in Palo Alto that had a shed where his friend Bill Hewlett was soon ensconced. The house had a garage—an appendage that would prove both useful and iconic in the valley—in which they tinkered around until they had their first product, an audio oscillator. By the 1950s, Hewlett-Packard was a fast-growing company making technical instruments. Fortunately there was a place nearby for entrepreneurs who had outgrown their garages. In a move that would help transform the area into the cradle of the tech revolution, Stanford University’s dean of engineering, Frederick Terman, created a seven-hundred-acre industrial park on university land for private companies that could commercialize the ideas of his students. Its first tenant was Varian Associates, where Clara Jobs worked. “Terman came up with this great idea that did more than anything to cause the tech industry to grow up here,” Jobs said. By the time Jobs was ten, HP had nine thousand employees and was the blue-chip company where every engineer seeking financial stability wanted to work. The most important technology for the region’s growth was, of course, the semiconductor. William Shockley, who had been one of the inventors of the transistor at Bell Labs in New Jersey, moved out to Mountain View and, in 1956, started a company to build transistors using silicon rather than the more expensive germanium that was then commonly used. But Shockley became increasingly erratic and abandoned his silicon transistor project, which led eight of his engineers—most notably Robert Noyce and Gordon Moore—to break away to form Fairchild Semiconductor. That company grew to twelve thousand employees, but it fragmented in 1968, when Noyce lost a power struggle to become CEO. He took Gordon Moore and founded a company that they called Integrated Electronics Corporation, which they soon smartly abbreviated to Intel. Their third employee was Andrew Grove, who later would grow the company by shifting its focus from memory chips to microprocessors. Within a few years there would be more than fifty companies in the area making semiconductors. The exponential growth of this industry was correlated with the phenomenon famously discovered by Moore, who in 1965 drew a graph of the speed of integrated circuits, based on the number of transistors that could be placed on a chip, and showed that it doubled about every two years, a trajectory that could be expected to continue. This was reaffirmed in 1971, when Intel was able to etch a complete central processing unit onto one chip, the Intel 4004, tronic amplifier. “So I raced home, and I told my dad that he was wrong.” “No, it needs an amplifier,” his father assured him. When Steve protested otherwise, his father said he was crazy. “It can’t work without an amplifier. There’s some trick.” “I kept saying no to my dad, telling him he had to see it, and finally he actually walked down with me and saw it. And he said, ‘Well I’ll be a bat out of hell.’” Jobs recalled the incident vividly because it was his first realization that his father did not know everything. Then a more disconcerting discovery began to dawn on him: He was smarter than his parents. He had always admired his father’s competence and savvy. “He was not an educated man, but I had always thought he was pretty damn smart. He didn’t read much, but he could do a lot. Almost everything mechanical, he could figure it out.” Yet the carbon microphone incident, Jobs said, began a jarring process of realizing that he was in fact more clever and quick than his parents. “It was a very big moment that’s burned into my mind. When I realized that I was smarter than my parents, I felt tremendous shame for having thought that. I will never forget that moment.” This discovery, he later told friends, along with the fact that he was adopted, made him feel apart—detached and separate—from both his family and the world. Another layer of awareness occurred soon after. Not only did he discover that he was brighter than his parents, but he discovered that they knew this. Paul and Clara Jobs were loving parents, and they were willing to adapt their lives to suit a son who was very smart—and also willful. They would go to great lengths to accommodate him. And soon Steve discovered this fact as well. “Both my parents got me. They felt a lot of responsibility once they sensed that I was special. They found ways to keep feeding me stuff and putting me in better schools. They were willing to defer to my needs.” So he grew up not only with a sense of having once been abandoned, but also with a sense that he was special. In his own mind, that was more important in the formation of his personality. School Even before Jobs started elementary school, his mother had taught him how to read. This, however, led to some problems once he got to school. “I was kind of bored for the first few years


就在前一天,武汉新增病情确诊59例。
新增死亡1例,共计3例死亡病例。
 
 
而百步亭社区,距离病毒源头华南海鲜城,不过7公里。
 
 
在这个时间,在这个地点,组织十几万人聚餐。
理智何在?
你们要浓浓的年味,万一来的是浓浓的病毒怎么办?
 
我们再看看医院。
很多家属记得给病人戴口罩,却不记得给自己戴口罩。 
 
医院感染科护士告诉过我一条救命箴言:
走进发热科,人人戴口罩。
传染科是病毒最集中的区域。
你感染了,谁来照顾你的家人?
 
今天是农历腊月二十六。
全国几亿人开始踏上春运的路程。
新型冠状病毒遇上春运,本来就是雪上加霜。
 
我们都知道,武汉是九省通衢,重要的交通枢纽。
2020年,武汉预估的春运客流量是1500万。

 
从今天开始,每天超过600次航班,单日客流量会超过9万人。
昨天新京报去机场采访,情况怎么样呢?
机场安排了体温检测。
但在记者的镜头里,我发现了一个细节:
涌进机场的乘客里,戴口罩的并不多。

 
再看看火车站。
有网友昨天到汉口站。
偌大的广场上,除了自己没人戴口罩。


如果说外地来的不清楚状况。
那武汉本地人呢?
在高铁接站的亲朋好友,只有1/5戴了口罩。
甚至有的工作人员也没戴。


而且,武汉不只客流量大,提前进入春运的人也很多。
这里有80所高校,在读学生超过130万。
占春运客流量的十分之一。
这意味着什么?
要知道,武汉出现第一个病例的时间是去年12月。
学生陆续返乡。
没有一个城市可以高枕无忧。

北京就已经出现了5例感染。
可北京重视了吗?
我一个朋友从北京西站出发回家。
她告诉我:
一眼望过去,戴口罩的不到1/3。
 
 
我一个朋友今天去国贸上班。
这是他拍到的照片:
10号线、6号线人人拿行李,几乎没人带口罩。
仿佛冠状病毒是个玩笑。

还有海南、深圳。
这些春运人流量大的城市,都还没来得及带上口罩。

 

这些人,似乎和朋友圈里抢购口罩保命的人活在两个次元。


但相比行动不够快,我更害怕大家对这次流感不够上心。
 
昨天深夜,钟南山院士确定,新型冠状病毒可以在人和人之间传播。
和这个消息一起冲上热搜的,是另一个话题:
新型冠状病毒传染性比SARS弱。

 
这个话题的阅读量已经接近1亿。
不知道多少人点进话题只看到一个“弱”字,就松了一口气。
重点根本不是这个。
而是:
它目前在爬坡阶段,重点要看控制。
这个热搜是不是太具有欺骗性了?
 
在另外一段发言中,钟院士点破了新型冠状病毒的另一个情况:
最后证实围绕一个新型冠状病毒感染的一个病人。有14个医护人员感染。
 
很多媒体都没有意识到这句话的真实含义。
这不是医护人员感染这么简单。
而是1个人,感染了14个人。
这意味着,超级传播者出现了。
而钟南山院士之前就说过:
防治的关键,就是防止出现超级传播者
果壳网主笔游识猷也提醒过:
现在最怕什么,最怕出现超级传播者和超级传播事件。SARS第一个超级传播者是广州海鲜销售员。他把病毒传给了19名家属和至少50个医院工作人员。有一个是中山医科大学附属医院的医生。他去香港参加婚礼,传染了16个客人……这被传染客人里的4个,又把SARS带到了香港、加拿大、新加坡和越南……SARS的全球爆发,就是这样开始的……

可我早上打开微博,还是看到大家在调侃。
戴口罩的,是神经病。
 
 
豆瓣上一堆年轻人暴走:
爸爸妈妈长辈就是不听劝,我戴口罩还说我有问题!
 
帖子问题是:你们家里长辈关注新型病毒了吗?
 
病例不断增加,还有网友不断发表智商感人的言论。
 
我不明白。
感染病例不断攀升,死亡病例也在增加。
医护人员前赴后继,专家劝说苦口婆心。
怎么还有人这么自以为是?
这不是无畏,而是无知。


就像那个掉以轻心的网友提到了十几年前那场“白色恐怖”。
这次爆发的新型冠状病毒,的确和非典有很多相似之处。
 
同样是“人传人”的传染病。


同样和野生动物有关。


连时间都很相似。
同样是冬天,春运前后。
 
这些相似点一下子唤起了我的记忆。
空气中全都是醋、板蓝根和消毒水的混合气味,似乎还夹杂了周遭隐藏的焦虑。
后来才知道,自己经历了一场没有硝烟的战争。

我们的确和17年前不同了。
以前犯过的错,不会再犯。

当时信息不公开,媒体失声,是为一过。

2002年11月16日,佛山发现了第一例非典。
一个36岁的厨师发着高烧,呼吸急促,CT上两肺发生大面积实变。
医生对这个病的第一印象:
无法分辨,没有结果,不知道。

战斗刚打响时,没人当它是一回事。
当地政府没太重视,于是民间流言四起

那时网络刚刚兴起,城市间没有疫情通报机制。
一条信息从北半球到南半球只需2秒,但北京的医生却不知道广州的疫情。
没有危机预警,就已经预告这是一场大危机。
 
17年后,我们明白谣言产生于愚昧,更产生于蒙蔽。
于是,新型冠状病毒的最新消息频频占据热搜。
现状公开,实时播报,疑似案例立刻通报。


 
当年,缺乏隔离反应太慢,是为二过。

有个27岁的山西女生到广州出差。
她早就听过传染病的传言,但不怎么买账。
她问司机,司机一脸无所谓:
我每天都不戴口罩,没有防护,什么事都没有。

没想到,女生回去就病倒了。
高烧不退,浑身发冷。
她就是第一个把病毒带入北京的人。
于是2003年春天,北京被猝不及防地击倒。
 

17年后,只用2周时间,就研发出了确诊的工具——病毒核酸检测试剂盒。



各地疫情集中出现,也是因为它。
处在疫情暴风眼的武汉,工作人员上机检查。
第一时间发现,第一时间隔离。


当年的第三过,是没有保护好医护人员。

这一役,医生损失惨重。
每3个因非典死亡的人里,就有1个是医护人员。
 
北大人民医院共93名医护人员感染,急诊科62人里24人感染,2人殉职。
病人一波波涌进医院,医生一批批倒下去。
太多医护人员感染,只能停诊闭院。
这还是史上第一次。
 

当时冲上一线医护人员不知道,病人分泌物接触眼睛会感染病毒。
他们只有一层口罩。
没有防护服,没有护目镜。
在非典病房里,柴静问医生:你们靠什么防护?
他回答:我们靠精神防护。

抱着牺牲的念头走进隔离病区时,医生都写好了遗书


昨天,我在朋友圈刷到了这张图。

这是武汉医院一线医护人员工作的场景。

17年后,大家都意识到医生是人民安全的最后一道防护墙。

不留缝隙的防护服,护目镜。

再怎么保护都不为过。



是的,我们和17年前不一样了。
我们有更公开及时的新闻通报,值得信任的医护人员。
 
 
我们建立起了亚洲第一个生物安全四级的实验室,而且它就在武汉。
 
中国科学院武汉国家生物安全实验室发现SARS病毒来源于蝙蝠

但我们有一个很大的错误,那就是从来没把“流感”当做一种夺命疾病来看待。
甚至很多人不觉得感冒是一种病。
常听到的说法是“吃药一星期,不吃药7天”。
我给大家科普一个冷知识:
就连普通感冒,都是没有特效药的。
感冒药的作用是缓解症状,然后等人体自愈。
 

《三体》里有一句话,用来形容宇宙争夺:

无知不是生存的障碍,傲慢才是。
我觉得用来形容人类和病毒,也一样合适。

前年甲流肆虐时,我也不以为意。
然后,我就在高铁上中招了。
上车前,我生龙活虎能吃3斤小龙虾。
5小时车程后,我39度高烧不退,浑身疼痛如一滩烂泥。
第二天,办公室3个同事全部中招。
来势之凶猛,真的不能掉以轻心。
 
冬春之交是流感多发期,每年都会有几十万人因为流感死亡。
这是全球共同的医学难题。
 

我们深知,医护人员不是神。
新型病毒,需要时间去攻克。
科研人员是在和病毒赛跑。
一个在拼命变化,一个在拼命攻坚。
这真的不是一朝一夕能完成的事情。

我知道有人会问:
你这难道不是在制造恐慌吗?
 
这个问题,柴静在17年前就给过我们答案。
她做的非典专题在央视播出,有同行说:“你们在制造恐慌。”
坐在她旁边的是当时《财经》杂志主编的胡舒立。
她说:
比恐慌更可怕的,是轻慢。

《非典十年祭》纪录片里一句话今天预言成真:

“以后变异病毒一定还会出现”。

嚣张的病毒龇牙咧嘴,试图在我们警惕起来之前统治这个世界。

妄想!

现在,就是人和病毒抢速度的紧要关头。


传染病斗士钟南山84岁了。

他再次挂帅出征,已经出发去了武汉。

17年,他那句“把重症病人都送到我这里来”言犹在耳。

这次,我们一样能赢。


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